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2023 AAC Win Totals & Futures

With Week 0 on deck, we’re turning to the AAC. To not be confused with the ACC, the American has been probably the most enjoyable conferences to observe within the final decade. The Solar Belt has risen in prominence the previous couple of years, however to me, the AAC has at all times been the premier G5 convention.

There is no manner of sugar coating the draw back: the convention was hamstrung when Cincinnati, UCF and Houston left for the Large 12 on July 1. Shedding three of the G5 groups that would arguably make a run on the CFP (particularly as soon as we change to a 12-team playoff) simply hurts a convention. There is no two methods about it.

Regardless of the AAC coming off of probably the most thrilling bowl wins in convention historical past (Tulane coming again in opposition to USC) and a 4-3 bowl file, there is a cloud hanging over this season.

Nevertheless, the American tried to cease the bleeding by including Charlotte, Florida Atlantic, North Texas, Rice, UAB and UTSA. Whereas these packages aren’t going to extend the typical high quality of the American, you need to be the league including groups within the days of realignment.

Will these additions and subtractions create any worth? Learn on to seek out out.

Navy Over 6.5 Wins (+125)

The Midshipmen begin off the season with a troublesome journey to Eire to tackle the Combating Irish on their (ancestral) dwelling turf.

Nevertheless, after that, the schedule opens up for Navy.

The one video games we have now the Midshipmen as underdogs in is at Memphis and at SMU, and people are basically coin flips.

To be honest, one of many video games they are a favourite in (Temple) is basically a decide’em, as nicely.

That being stated, that also leaves eight video games the place Navy is favored by greater than a subject objective.

At this level, should you’ve been studying these preview articles in any respect, you recognize what comes subsequent.

That is proper, it is time to discuss in regards to the returning manufacturing and power of schedule. Navy is returning a ton of manufacturing on either side of the ball and has the second-easiest schedule within the convention.

That is the beginnings of an important over.

However what else about this crew signifies that it could actually win seven or extra video games? How about the truth that the Midshipmen run offense and protection will hold them in most video games. Maintain the ball on the bottom and assault the opponents’ line and good issues are inclined to occur.

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Temple Over 5.5 Wins (-105)

You’ll be able to seize the over 5 at DraftKings, however at -150 odds, I do not assume the juice is definitely worth the squeeze. We’ve the Owls projected at 7.3 wins, so I really feel snug selecting up the 5.5 versus simply the 5.

Temple is a really related story to Navy. We have already got the Owls favored in eight video games, however three of these are by a subject objective or much less.

However, two of the video games they’re underdogs in are by lower than three factors, as nicely.

Now that we have regarded on the schedule, you recognize the place I am going. That is proper, returning manufacturing and power of schedule.

And would not you recognize it, the Owls have very sturdy returning manufacturing and a weak schedule.

Offensive coordinator Danny Langsdorf should construct on the success E.J. Warner confirmed within the final sport of the season in opposition to ECU, setting passing yard and landing data.

The excellent news is that, as a sophomore, one wish to assume Warner will make a leap from serviceable freshman to star sophomore.

Search for the Owls to drastically enhance within the crimson zone this season, as Langsdorf recaptures the crimson zone magic he had with Colorado in 2021 (third nationally in crimson zone offense).

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