Colts vs Patriots Odds, Prediction: NFL Week 10 Preview

Colts vs Patriots Odds

Colts vs. Patriots odds have Indianapolis laying two factors at most sportsbooks, whereas the overall sits at 43 at most sportsbooks, the latter of which is very vital to my Colts vs. Patriots prediction.

Indy has been a constant over machine within the Shane Steichen period, however that development has peaked and there is now worth on the Colts-Patriots over/below. Each of those offenses have performed at a quick tempo this season, however the excessive sport states have skewed the Patriots’ information all yr.

Let’s break down the matchup and make our Colts vs. Patriots choose and prediction.

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The Patriots’ protection has struggled to cope with groups with velocity all yr, however the Colts’ offense could also be with out rookie large receiver Josh Downs as a result of harm. Downs left final week’s sport with a knee harm that he practically missed final week’s sport with. He ranks within the prime 15 amongst PFF rookies.

On condition that he did not apply all week, I would not anticipate Downs to be within the sport on Sunday. He is been the perfect separator within the Colts’ receiving room. With wideout Alec Pierce prone to play but additionally not at 100%, the offense is missing playmakers.

The Colts are getting some constructive harm information on the defensive aspect of the ball as main tackler and center linebacker Zaire Franklin is anticipated to return. They’re going to additionally get nook Tony Brown again within the combine and whereas he isn’t nice, Indy’s depth points are so vital at nook that Brown is an improve over the present state of affairs.

Like Carolina final week, New England is likely one of the few offenses that may’t actually exploit matchup benefits on the skin in opposition to this makeshift Colts secondary. The Colts play a ton of zone and can drive the whole lot beneath, and the Patriots’ lack of game-changing playmakers will drive each drive to be methodical on their drives.

Indianapolis wasn’t capable of run the ball efficiently in any respect in opposition to one of many worst run defenses within the NFL final week. The Panthers held the Colts to 73 rush yards on 25 carries and now the Colts will face one of many six greatest run defenses within the NFL this yr. New England is fourth in dashing success charge allowed and sixth in EPA per rush.

Each of those defenses have not been practically as dangerous as their factors allowed would recommend. For New England, the early turnovers and defensive scores conceded in opposition to the Saints, Cowboys and Eagles put them in horrendous early sport states that compelled them to be extraordinarily pass-heavy and play sooner. This isn’t the place New England is at its greatest due to the dearth of playmaking offensively. The Patriots’ offense is thirtieth in yards per drive and thirtieth in factors per drive, they usually have not precisely performed a tough schedule of opposing defenses general.

The Patriots’ protection is twenty first in factors allowed per drive however is twelfth in yards allowed per drive. The Colts rank twenty sixth in factors allowed per drive but additionally are simply eleventh in yards per drive. Indianapolis has had main issues within the pink zone defensively, however given New England’s operating struggles, we might see plenty of pink zone inefficiency.

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The full opened at 44 right here and after ticking right down to 43.5, it has remained regular on that quantity for your entire week. Our Motion Community Luck rankings present this to be an 11-point edge to the below, primarily based on all the defensive touchdowns which have artificially inflated totals in Colts and Patriots video games all season lengthy.

Each of those two groups rank within the prime two in tempo, however this whole should not be north of 42 for my part. I might wager below at something 43 or higher.

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