With three weeks to go within the WNBA season, issues have formally heated up into “stretch run” mode.
Nearly each storyline is within the remaining chapter: Aces or Liberty as the highest seed; Stewie, A’ja, and even AT as MVP; Sparks or Sky for the ultimate playoff spot; will EDD and the Mystics get wholesome in time to be a nasty first-round matchup?
The storylines are infinite.
Sunday sees eight groups in motion, with neither of the massive canine taking part in, however loads of the groups battling it out for playoff seeding. Three of the 4 video games are on NBA TV, with motion on from 3 p.m. ET to round 9 p.m. ET and just about nonstop there.
Let’s give bettors some further juice for this slate.
WNBA Greatest Bets
The crew logos within the desk beneath symbolize every of the matchups that our WNBA betting workers is concentrating on from right this moment’s slate of video games. Click on on the crew logos for any of the matchups beneath to navigate to a selected guess mentioned on this article.
By Jim Turvey
This line opened with the Wings as quick favorites, however with the official information that Elena Delle Donne and Shakira Austin can be out, the Wings at the moment are -5.5
Nevertheless, I believe it is the overall that ought to’ve been extra impacted by that information, particularly about Austin. Shakira being in or out of the lineup has been the most important differentiator between turning the Mystics right into a heavy underneath crew or a heavy over crew.
All of final season, and to begin this season, the Mystics had been a dependable underneath crew. They’d the very best protection within the league and performed at a gradual sufficient tempo that they had been hitting unders at a greater fee than some other crew within the league.
Nevertheless, that flipped mid-season, and the rationale was easy: Shakira Austin obtained harm.
Austin is likely one of the greatest defensive gamers within the league and her affect may be very underrated within the betting market. Austin being on the court docket additionally slows down the tempo for the Mystics, who play a lot quicker with out their younger large.
As such, the play right here is smart: Over 165.5 -115.
Decide: Over 165.5
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By Jim Turvey
That is virtually actually the sport you may be skipping right this moment. It isn’t on NBA TV, and it is a battle of two groups which are going to overlook the playoffs (no small feat within the W).
There’s additionally no Brittney Griner in motion for the Mercury, and whereas that makes the viewing much less tempting, it makes the betting extra intriguing.
Every time a mega-usage participant like Griner is out, it gives a possibility to see which gamers can fill that void. And on the Mercury, you do not have to look far.
In response to pbpstats.com, with Griner on the court docket alongside Taurasi, DT averages 26.5 factors per 100 possessions. With Griner off the court docket, Taurasi’s scoring flies as much as 39.5 factors per 100. On the flip aspect, with Griner on the court docket, Taurasi averages 22.4 assists per 100 possessions; with BG off the court docket, that quantity plummets to 11.0.
As such, if you will get a identical recreation parlay during which you get DT factors over and assists underneath, that is supreme for the reason that books will not essentially have them positively correlated regardless that they’ve confirmed so with BG out, however the two bets work effectively on their very own, too.
Decide: Taurasi Over 16.5 Factors; Below 4.5 Assists
By Jim Turvey
These two groups performed on Friday, and the Storm had been a greatest guess for me. I’ve been fading the Lynx virtually all season, they usually have been the crew I’ve misplaced essentially the most on this season as a result of they proceed to refuse regression.
By web ranking, these two groups are close to equals (they had been equals earlier than the Friday recreation), so having the Storm as 2.5-point underdogs at house appeared incorrect.
Nevertheless, the Lynx did certainly get a comparatively simple win in Seattle, and now they play host to the Storm in Minnesota. And I’m as soon as once more confused by the road.
On Friday, Minnesota closed -1.5 over Seattle in Seattle, implying the books thought they had been about 4.5 factors higher than the Storm on a impartial court docket. Now, the 2 groups are taking part in in Minnesota, and they’re -4.5, implying the books assume they’re now only one.5 factors higher regardless of simply protecting on the highway.
None of it is smart, and although in idea it does not make sense to flip the crew you’re on two days later, I now discover myself seeing worth on the Lynx on Sunday.
I like them within the first half, and the sport as a complete, with the latter as extra of a lean. I additionally just like the underneath, which I did as effectively on Friday and noticed nothing to maneuver me off that place.
Decide: Lynx First Half -2.5; Lynx -4.5; Below 160.5
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